GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sportivo Las Parejas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Chivilcoy hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 9% BTTS chance and 4% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ChivilcoyLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo Las ParejasDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoySportivo Las Parejas
28.3Attack19.0
78.3Defence76.2
46.7Form41.3
52.6Power48.4
0.44xG0.28
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