Gimnasia Chivilcoyvs
Sarmiento de La Banda
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0-0 Sarmiento de La Banda, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1-0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 37.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.4% | 37.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.3% | 24.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00