GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.6 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ChivilcoyLDDDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento de La BandaDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoySarmiento de La Banda
28.3Attack33.3
78.3Defence70.4
46.7Form50.0
52.6Power53.0
0.54xG0.41
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