GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

24.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ChivilcoyDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin FormosaWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoySan Martin Formosa
29.8Attack57.4
78.9Defence61.1
49.1Form66.7
54.1Power63.0
0.73xG0.73
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