Gimhae Cityvs
Yongin City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yongin City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimhae City 0-3 Yongin City
Original prediction
Yongin City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.1% | 23.6% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.4% | 25.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.5% | 51.0% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Yongin City
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Yongin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60