Gimhae Cityvs
Paju Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paju Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimhae City 0-0 Paju Citizen, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimhae City 0-2 Paju Citizen
Original prediction
Paju Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 24.4% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 28.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.2% | 46.7% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Projected Score
Gimhae City 0–0 Paju Citizen
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Paju Citizen
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Paju Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80