Gimhae Cityvs
Asan Mugunghwa
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asan Mugunghwa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimhae City 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimhae City 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa
Original prediction
Asan Mugunghwa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.3% | 19.6% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.1% | 24.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.6% | 55.7% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Projected Score
Gimhae City 0–1 Asan Mugunghwa
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Asan Mugunghwa
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Asan Mugunghwa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60