Gimcheon Sangmu FCvs
Gwangju FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimcheon Sangmu FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 Gwangju FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gwangju FC
Original prediction
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.9% | 62.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.9% | 23.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.41 | 17.1% | 13.7% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00