Gimcheon Sangmu FCvs
Gangwon FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gangwon FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-0 Gangwon FC, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 Gangwon FC
Original prediction
Gangwon FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.9% | 26.0% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.6% | 31.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.4% | 42.9% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Projected Score
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–0 Gangwon FC
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Gangwon FC
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20