Gimcheon Sangmu FCvs
FC Anyang
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimcheon Sangmu FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 FC Anyang
Original prediction
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.0% | 40.5% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 29.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.6% | 30.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80