Gimcheon Sangmu FCvs
Daejeon Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Daejeon Citizen
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.8% | 29.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.7% | 29.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.5% | 40.6% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00