K League 1K League 1
Saturday, 11 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Home
DD
11
Full time
Bucheon FC 1995

Bucheon FC 1995

Away
D
Gimcheon Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Draw35%
Bucheon FC 199534%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC31%
Most likely exact score1-1
Prediction correct— Result: Draw
Win probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
31%
Draw
35%
Bucheon FC 1995
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
34
Bucheon FC 1995
34
Defence
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
66
Bucheon FC 1995
66
Momentum
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
33
Bucheon FC 1995
33
Danger (xG)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0.90
Bucheon FC 1995
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gimcheon Sangmu FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Bucheon FC 1995)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Gimcheon Sangmu FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bucheon FC 1995)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
DDLD
Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
DWD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Gimcheon Sangmu FC31%
Draw35%
Bucheon FC 199534%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Gimcheon Sangmu FC head into this in K League 1 fixture at Gimcheon Stadium in mixed form (DD), while Bucheon FC 1995 arrive in mixed form (D). Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Bucheon FC 1995 over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Gimcheon Sangmu FC (66/100) and Bucheon FC 1995 (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Bucheon FC 1995 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3064%, Draw 3500%, Bucheon FC 1995 3436%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0Draws 10 Bucheon FC 1995
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
11 Jul 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D11
Bucheon FC 1995

Recent form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D
vs Bucheon FC 1995
11 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Jeju United FC
5 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Jeonbuk Motors
17 May 2026
01
D
@ FC Anyang
13 May 2026
22
Bucheon FC 1995

Bucheon FC 1995

D
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
11 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Pohang Steelers
17 May 2026
20
D
vs Jeonbuk Motors
13 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more