GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Gillingham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wycombe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WycombeWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GillinghamWycombe
33.3Attack58.3
22.2Defence75.0
33.3Form87.5
33.1Power76.3
0.93xG2.21
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