Gillinghamvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gillingham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Peterborough are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 48.0-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
71.6%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60