GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gillingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gillingham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 33.1 against 32.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Gillingham holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gillingham

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Leyton OrientLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GillinghamLeyton Orient
33.3Attack44.4
22.2Defence33.3
33.3Form11.1
33.1Power32.9
1.81xG1.69
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