GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fulham U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gillingham are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham U21 hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Fulham U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fulham U21

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Fulham U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Fulham U21WLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GillinghamFulham U21
33.3Attack66.7
22.2Defence33.3
33.3Form41.7
33.1Power50.3
1.75xG2.07
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