GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gillingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gillingham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gillingham hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Gillingham holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gillingham

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Crystal Palace U21LWLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GillinghamCrystal Palace U21
33.3Attack22.2
22.2Defence11.1
33.3Form0.0
33.1Power16.7
2.09xG1.47
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