Gillinghamvs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gillingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gillingham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gillingham hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Gillingham holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gillingham
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80