Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PPJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Gilla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PPJ are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PPJ hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Suomen Cup, while PPJ holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PPJ
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
7.3%
PPJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00