Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202613:00Last updated 15:00
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

Home
LL
22
Full time
Moreirense

Moreirense

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Moreirense33%
GIL Vicente33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
GIL Vicente
33%
Draw
33%
Moreirense
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
GIL Vicente
18
Moreirense
9
Defence
GIL Vicente
14
Moreirense
66
Momentum
GIL Vicente
0
Moreirense
17
Danger (xG)
GIL Vicente
0.45
Moreirense
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (GIL Vicente)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Moreirense)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (GIL Vicente)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Moreirense)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
LL
MoreirenseMoreirense
DL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
GIL Vicente33%
Draw33%
Moreirense33%

Moreirense leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

GIL Vicente head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (LL), while Moreirense arrive in mixed form (DL). GIL Vicente have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Moreirense over 2 games.

The model rates GIL Vicente's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Moreirense defence, and Moreirense's attack at 9/100 against a 14/100 GIL Vicente backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

GIL Vicente have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Moreirense have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between GIL Vicente and Moreirense in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: GIL Vicente 3333%, Draw 3333%, Moreirense 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

L
@ Sporting CP
16 May 2026
02
L
vs Arouca
11 May 2026
13
Moreirense

Moreirense

D
vs AVS
16 May 2026
00
L
@ Tondela
11 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more