Gil Vicente U23vs
Vizela U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gil Vicente U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Vizela U23
Original prediction
Gil Vicente U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.5% | 35.4% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.7% | 35.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Gil Vicente U23
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Gil Vicente U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00