Gil Vicente U23vs
Rio Ave U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gil Vicente U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gil Vicente U23 0-2 Rio Ave U23
Original prediction
Gil Vicente U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.2% | 40.3% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 27.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.5% | 32.7% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Gil Vicente U23
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Gil Vicente U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80