Gijón Industrialvs
Condal
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gijón Industrial · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gijón Industrial 1-2 Condal
Original prediction
Gijón Industrial
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.2% | 37.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 29.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.6% | 34.0% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gijón Industrial
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Gijón Industrial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00