Gijón Industrialvs
Astur
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gijón Industrial · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gijón Industrial 2-2 Astur
Original prediction
Gijón Industrial
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.5% | 37.9% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 29.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.6% | 32.7% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Gijón Industrial
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Gijón Industrial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50