GIF Sundsvallvs
Orebro SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orebro SK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GIF Sundsvall 0-3 Orebro SK
Original prediction
Orebro SK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 26.0% | 26.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.4% | 27.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.6% | 46.0% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Orebro SK
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Orebro SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40