GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 8/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Norrby IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Norrby IF

Original prediction

Norrby IF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8832.0%18.9%-13.1 pts
Draw3.3027.9%22.8%-5.1 pts
Away2.3140.0%58.3%18.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

18.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–114%
  2. 2.0–213%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Norrby IF

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GIF SundsvallLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Norrby IFWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GIF SundsvallNorrby IF
23.3Attack41.7
26.7Defence55.0
16.7Form38.3
26.0Power47.3
0.73xG1.78
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