GIF Sundsvallvs
Ljungskile SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ljungskile SK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GIF Sundsvall 3-2 Ljungskile SK
Original prediction
Ljungskile SK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 23.0% | 17.2% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.9% | 22.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 52.1% | 60.6% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Ljungskile SK
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Ljungskile SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20