GIF Sundsvallvs
IFK Varnamo
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Varnamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GIF Sundsvall 0-1 IFK Varnamo
Original prediction
IFK Varnamo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.27 | 21.5% | 20.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.7% | 22.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.7% | 57.1% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
IFK Varnamo
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
IFK Varnamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80