GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gievenbeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gievenbeck are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Sportfreunde Siegen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gievenbeck hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Gievenbeck holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gievenbeck

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Gievenbeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GievenbeckWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 3.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Sportfreunde SiegenDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GievenbeckSportfreunde Siegen
60.8Attack63.7
66.7Defence54.9
59.8Form52.0
62.0Power56.9
1.84xG1.17
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