Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 26.1% | 35.8% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 35.1% | 32.2% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 38.8% | 32.0% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.66 · Draw 1.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Gibraltar 0–0 Andorra
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GibraltarDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AndorraLLWLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GibraltarAndorra
22.2Attack33.3
72.2Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.6Power23.7
1.06xG0.77