GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus VeronaWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioVirtus Verona
40.4Attack30.7
61.4Defence62.3
46.5Form41.2
50.7Power46.5
0.99xG0.64
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