GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusDLWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioVicenza Virtus
40.4Attack45.6
61.4Defence73.7
46.5Form62.3
50.7Power61.9
0.66xG1.00
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