Giana Erminiovs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Giana Erminio 0-1 Union Brescia, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Giana Erminio 2-1 Union Brescia
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.16 | 17.6% | 17.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 26.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.1% | 56.5% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Giana Erminio 0–1 Union Brescia
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00