GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/8/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioTriestina
40.4Attack53.5
61.4Defence61.4
46.5Form56.1
50.7Power58.1
0.98xG1.16
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