Giana Erminiovs
Trento
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trento · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Giana Erminio 2-2 Trento
Original prediction
Trento
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.6% | 32.8% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 30.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.7% | 37.1% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Trento
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Trento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40