Giana Erminiovs
PRO Vercelli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Giana Erminio 1-1 PRO Vercelli
Original prediction
Giana Erminio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 39.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 29.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.7% | 30.7% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Giana Erminio
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80