GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioDWWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioPro Patria
40.4Attack32.5
61.4Defence55.3
46.5Form40.4
50.7Power45.1
1.18xG0.67
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