GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/1/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioPergolettese
40.4Attack38.6
61.4Defence56.1
46.5Form39.5
50.7Power45.8
1.15xG0.80
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