GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/12/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioPadova
40.4Attack48.2
61.4Defence75.4
46.5Form67.5
50.7Power64.8
0.61xG1.06
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