GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/3/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovaraLDLWW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioNovara
40.4Attack34.2
61.4Defence57.0
46.5Form37.7
50.7Power45.4
1.13xG0.71
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