GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioMantova
40.4Attack63.2
61.4Defence72.8
46.5Form70.2
50.7Power68.8
0.67xG1.41
View match centre →