GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/16/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioLecco
40.4Attack31.6
61.4Defence58.8
46.5Form37.7
50.7Power44.9
1.09xG0.66
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