GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/30/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FiorenzuolaWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioFiorenzuola
40.4Attack33.3
61.4Defence45.6
46.5Form33.3
50.7Power39.9
1.46xG0.68
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