Giana Erminiovs
Dolomiti Bellunesi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Giana Erminio 1-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Giana Erminio 1-2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Original prediction
Giana Erminio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.9% | 54.2% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 26.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.2% | 19.6% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Giana Erminio 1–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Giana Erminio
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80