GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/20/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atalanta II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atalanta IIWWDWL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Giana ErminioAtalanta II
40.4Attack37.7
61.4Defence68.4
46.5Form51.8
50.7Power54.4
0.81xG0.81
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