GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/2/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioArzignano Valchiampo
40.4Attack28.1
61.4Defence67.5
46.5Form38.6
50.7Power46.1
0.85xG0.58
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