GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/23/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Alessandria are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioDWDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlessandriaLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioAlessandria
40.4Attack17.5
61.4Defence57.9
46.5Form20.2
50.7Power34.3
1.15xG0.48
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