GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Giana Erminio are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Giana ErminioWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AlbinoleffeDWDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Giana ErminioAlbinoleffe
40.4Attack29.8
61.4Defence67.5
46.5Form39.5
50.7Power47.9
0.85xG0.62
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