GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 9/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 Enppi

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6135.1%35.5%0.4 pts
Draw2.5136.5%30.6%-5.9 pts
Away3.2328.4%33.8%5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.51 · Draw 1.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.6%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ghazl El MehallaLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EnppiLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ghazl El MehallaEnppi
0.0Attack50.0
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power21.5
1.21xG1.21
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