Ghazl El Mehallavs
Al Ittihad
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ittihad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Al Ittihad, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 Al Ittihad
Original prediction
Al Ittihad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.5% | 21.8% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 35.2% | 29.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Projected Score
Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Al Ittihad
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Al Ittihad
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Al Ittihad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40