Ghazl El Mehallavs
Abu Qair Semad
COMPLETEDEgypt · League Cup · 10/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ghazl El Mehalla · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Abu Qair Semad
Original prediction
Ghazl El Mehalla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.7% | 37.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.2% | 31.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.1% | 31.6% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Ghazl El Mehalla
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Ghazl El Mehalla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60