Ghaz Al Shamalvs
Naft Maysan
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ghaz Al Shamal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ghaz Al Shamal 0-0 Naft Maysan, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan
Original prediction
Ghaz Al Shamal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 42.1% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.0% | 35.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.5% | 22.3% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Naft Maysan
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Ghaz Al Shamal
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Ghaz Al Shamal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40